One indicator puts the odds of a recession at 99%. Here are 4 things to do with your money now to prepare.

The likelihood of this depends on who you ask, but numerous indicators ... recession. “It’s not the time to play casino with the stock market. It is time to invest and not speculate,” says ... Read More

A reliable indicator says the next recession might be 3 years away: Morning Brief

What if that reset pushes a recession… all the way to 2026? Let’s consider the yield curve as a recession indicator ... for the past half-century. Here's a quick reminder of how this works. Read More

Will There Be a Recession in 2024? Here's What Experts Say

And last fall, the New York Fed's recession probability indicator ... These numbers, however, may only be somewhat comforting. And while the economy is in a good place now, it's hard to say ... Read More

The inventor of a famed recession indicator says many state-level warning signs are less dire when you factor in immigration

A recession indicator known ... the unemployment rate's three-month average climbs 50 points above a 12-month low. But while rising rates paint a grim picture, it's actually evidence of a winning ... Read More

Will This Be the Shortest Bull Market on Record? These 2 Recession Indicators Point to Yes.

While the three-month average has not yet reached the point that would signal a recession, it's clearly nearing ... despite what the above indicators say. First, we're already near the longest ... Read More

Anatomy Of A Recession Update: What's Different About This Cycle?

Jeff Schulze discusses the updated ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard, which has seen some progress underneath the surface despite not having any indicator changes. Read More

Stop Applying My Recession Rule to Individual States

The United States has been under a “recession warning” for two years now. And after a brief lull as we entered 2024, the alarms are sounding again. It’s not the usual suspects of an inverted ... Read More

Recession already over for Brexit Britain, according to this key economic indicator

Britain’s economy grew for a fifth consecutive month in March, according to a closely watched economic indicator, signalling that it has already out of recession. S&P said that its composite ... Read More

Recession Fears: Are We (Unofficially) In A Recession Now?

How is a recession ... the NBER says there is no hard and fast rule regarding the measures involved in its decision-making process. In other words, the NBER doesn't rely solely on three reports ... Read More