The US is dealing with a rare bifurcation of the economy, and it's raising the odds of recession, Piper Sandler chief economist says

Big companies are weathering high interest rates. Consumers, meanwhile, are facing rising debt as inflation eats into wage gains. Read More

Nearly 30% of Bankers Worried about a Severe US & Global Recession

A new report from The Federal Reserve System reveals that 30% of bankers believe that the US and world economy is heading into recession. Read More

The economy looks good, but underlying weaknesses threaten to bring recession

Adding to the banks’ troubles is a commercial real-estate crisis as a result ... small and medium-sized businesses and tip the economy into recession. An even more serious economic weakness ... Read More

Tom Saler: Experts were wrong about the U.S. economy falling into recession. Here's why.

Beginning in 1979, Volcker’s rate hikes threw the U.S. economy into two recessions and pushed ... inflation-adjusted interest rates. Currently, real rates are two percentage points above ... Read More

What is a recession and how could it affect me?

The UK economy fell into recession ... The last UK recession was in 2020, at the height of the coronavirus pandemic. It only lasted for six months, although the 20.4% fall in GDP recorded between ... Read More

Confounding US economic, inflation data muddy Fed's rate path

The Federal Reserve's latest financial stability report was good news for anyone worried that a record run of interest rate hikes might overstress the banking system or trigger a recession with ... Read More

The Fed's rate-cut projections are pointing to an imminent recession, economist says

The Federal Reserve's interest rate forecasts are flashing warning signs of a recession just around the corner, top economist David Rosenberg says ... landing in the economy, the Fed typically ... Read More

US Economy News Today: New Home Sales Fall In February

Welcome to Investopedia's economics live blog, where we'll explain what the day's news says about the state ... back to 2% without sending the economy into recession. “The path of disinflation ... Read More

Slow GO May Mean a Recession Soon

Images: AP/Reuters/AFP/Getty Images Composite: Mark Kelly The Bureau of Economic Analysis last week estimated that real gross domestic product grew at a robust annual rate of 3.4% in the fourth ... Read More

Key Inflation Gauge Rises in Line With Forecast

This is overall good news for markets,” said ... “Growth of the U.S. economy continues to slow, but recession is elusive, though the risk of recession is rising,” David Kotok, co-founder ... Read More

How Do Periods of Inflation, Recession Affect Real Earnings?

While this policy shift was aimed to reduce inflation, it also raised some concerns about the risk of slowing the economy into a recession ... start of the 2001 recession, cumulative TRE grew, driven ... Read More

Tom Saler: Experts were wrong about the U.S. economy falling into recession. Here's why.

Beginning in 1979, Volcker’s rate hikes threw the U.S. economy into two recessions and pushed unemployment up to over 10% while driving inflation down from 14%. It’s often forgotten ... Read More