Will your weeknight spaghetti get a price hike?
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The U.S. may hike tariffs on certain Italian pasta brands to about 107% as early as January 2026
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Big names like Rummo, Garofalo, La Molisana, and Italian-made Barilla could see sharp price jumps or exit the U.S. market
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Check Product of Italy, lightly stock up on favorites, and test cheaper store-brand or U.S.-made backups now
The U.S. Commerce Department has proposed massive new tariffs on Italian pasta that would push total tariffs as high as 107% on imports from 13 big Italian companies.
Right now, Italian pasta from the EU already pays a 15% tariff. Commerces preliminary findings would tack on another 92%. The claim is that these Italian companies are dumping pasta in the U.S. at less than market value, undercutting American pasta manufacturers.
If the proposal sticks, tariffs could kick in as early as January 2026, once Commerce finalizes its decision (deadline is around Jan. 2, 2026).
Whos on the hook?
The 13 companies on the preliminary list include some very recognizable names:
- La Molisana
- Pasta Garofalo
- Rummo
- Barilla (Italian-made lines; U.S-made Barilla is much less affected)
- Agritalia
- Aldino
- Antiche Tradizioni Di Gragnano
- Gruppo Milo
- Pastificio Artigiano Cav. Giuseppe Cocco
- Pastificio Chiavenna
- Pastificio Liguori
- Pastificio Sgambaro
- Pastificio Tamma
Italy exported roughly $680700 million worth of pasta to the U.S. last year, about 12% of the U.S. pasta market, and much of the higher-end bronze-cut/gourmet stuff consumers associate with real Italian pasta.
Some of these brands are already warning they may pull out of the U.S. market if the full 107% tariff hits, because the math simply doesnt work.
Importers have thrown out examples like a $3.99 box jumping to $7.99 if the tariffs get passed through.
Is this final, or maybe news?
The White House is already downplaying pasta is disappearing headlines, saying the duty is just a proposal and that companies still have several months to provide data before anything becomes final.
That said, several Italian companies and trade groups are treating this as very real as some are planning to exit the U.S. market starting in 2026 if nothing changes. Also, the EUs trade chief has publicly said hes working with Italy to fight the tariffs.
What shoppers can do now
Check where your pasta is made. Flip the box and look for Product of Italy. The proposed duties hit certain Italian brands; U.S.-made and most store brands arent in the same danger zone.
Lightly stock up on favorites. If youre loyal to a specific Italian brand (Rummo, Garofalo, La Molisana, etc.), grab a few extra boxes now. Buying a couple of months worth could be smart, but not an entire bunkers worth.
Test cheaper backups. Try your store brand or a U.S.-made option now so you already know a backup you like if prices jump.
Watch unit prices, not just sale tags. If tariffs kick in, sales may just be discounts off a higher regular price. The price-per-ounce line you see on the shelf is your real comparison tool.
Posted: 2025-11-14 16:57:23















