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Adobe's new holiday forecast offers an early roadmap for when shoppers may find the deepest discounts

• Black Friday is expected to bring the best deals on TVs, toys, apparel, appliances, and furniture.

• Cyber Monday should be better for electronics and computers, while Thanksgiving is expected to have the best sporting goods deals.

• Shoppers don't need to buy anything yet, but knowing which days favor which products can help them plan ahead.

Yeah, I realize Black Friday is still over a month away, but shoppers who like to plan ahead are already getting a clearer picture of when the best deals could arrive this year.

And despite the name, Black Friday won't necessarily be the best day to buy everything.

Adobe's latest holiday shopping forecast shows that the deepest discounts are expected to fall on different days depending on what you're buying. Sporting goods are expected to be cheapest on Thanksgiving, several big-ticket categories should peak on Black Friday, and electronics and computers may be worth holding off on until Cyber Monday.

In other words, shoppers don't need to start buying now. But they can start figuring out when to buy.

Adobe expects discounts to gradually improve as November progresses, reaching as much as 14% off listed prices in early November and 21% just before Thanksgiving. The deepest discounts up to 30% are expected during Cyber Week, the five-day period from Thanksgiving through Cyber Monday.

Here's how the calendar is shaping up.

Thanksgiving: Shop sporting goods online

If sporting goods are on your list, Thanksgiving Day could be worth checking online. Specifically, check the website of Dick's, REI, Academy, Walmart, and Amazon.

Adobe expects Thanksgiving Day to have the best sporting goods deals, with discounts in the category expected to peak at 19% during the holiday season.

That doesn't mean every treadmill, set of golf clubs, or camping tent will be cheapest that day. But shoppers who already know what they want can start tracking prices now and see whether Thanksgiving delivers a significant price drop.

Pro tip: Build your cart now, but don't check out. If you already know what you want, put the exact items in your online carts or wish lists. When Black Friday pricing starts, you'll have a quick way to check whether the price really dropped. You wont be stuck trying to remember what it cost weeks earlier.

Black Friday: TVs, toys, clothing, appliances, and furniture

Black Friday still earns its reputation in several major shopping categories. Adobe expects the deepest discounts on TVs, toys, apparel, appliances, and furniture to land on Black Friday, both online and in-store.

The projected peak discounts are worth paying attention to:

• Toys could reach 29% off listed prices

• TVs and apparel could reach 23% off

• Appliances and furniture could reach 18% off

For shoppers buying Christmas gifts for kids, there's another reason not to wait beyond Black Friday: inventory. Holding out for another few dollars in savings doesn't help if the toy is on the popular list and sells out.

The same idea applies to a specific TV, sofa, or appliance. Once the exact model you want reaches a price you're comfortable paying, chasing a theoretically lower price can backfire.

Pro tip: Screenshot the model number, not just the product. This is especially useful with TVs, laptops, and appliances, as some models are made specifically for Black Friday. So, by saving the exact model number (and specs) now, you can make an apples-to-apples comparison later. Otherwise, its easy to fall for a Black Friday discount on a TV only to realize later that it has two measly HDMI ports when you need four.

Cyber Monday: Electronics and computers lead the way

Tech shoppers may want to save some of their budget for Cyber Monday.

Adobe predicts the deepest discounts on electronics and computers will arrive Monday, Nov. 30. Electronics discounts are expected to reach as much as 30% off listed prices, while computers could hit 23%.

But don't ignore apparel. Cyber Monday has traditionally been a strong day for online clothing deals, and retailers aren't likely to suddenly turn off their Black Friday promotions when the weekend ends. Adobe's forecast simply suggests apparel discounts could peak on Black Friday, not that good clothing deals will disappear by Monday.

But keep in mind that Adobe's percentages are simply category-wide forecasts. They don't guarantee that a particular laptop, smartphone, or pair of headphones will be cheapest on Cyber Monday.

What shoppers can do now

There's no reason to start panic-buying Christmas gifts in September.

But there is an advantage to doing a little homework early.

• Make a list of the specific products you're considering. The benefit here is that you can get familiar with what they normally sell for. That gives you a baseline when the holiday promotions begin and makes it easier to distinguish a genuinely good deal from a flashy "Black Friday" label.

• Compare exact model numbers across retailers. This is particularly important with TVs and appliances, where nearly identical products can have different features.

• Check retailers' price-adjustment and return policies before buying. A generous policy can make purchasing an early deal less risky if the price falls later.

The biggest takeaway from Adobe's forecast isn't that shoppers should buy early or wait until one particular day. It's that Black Friday is really becoming a multi-day shopping event and the best day to buy depends on what's on your list.

It starts with your required minimum distribution.

By Mark Huffman of ConsumerAffairs

• Retirees and pre-retirees may still have time to reduce their long-term tax exposure through moves completed before Dec. 31.

• Roth conversions, required minimum distributions and a temporary deduction for people 65 and older are among the areas worth reviewing.

• Tax decisions should account for Social Security, pensions, investments and retirement-account withdrawals together, according to Gaines Capital Management.

If you are retired or approaching retirement, you have only a few months left to make certain tax-planning decisions for 2026, prompting advisers to encourage a broader review of how retirement income will be taxed.

Aaron Gaines, a certified financial planner and founder of Atlanta-based Gaines Capital Management, identified five areas retirees may want to examine before Dec. 31.

One potential strategy is a Roth conversion, in which money is moved from a tax-deferred retirement account into a Roth account. The converted amount is generally treated as taxable income in the year of the transaction, but qualified withdrawals from the Roth account can later be tax-free.

For some retirees, relatively low-income years before required minimum distributions begin can provide an opportunity to make partial conversions. The amount and timing require care, however, because a conversion can increase taxable income and potentially affect other costs or taxes tied to income.

Required minimum distributions

Retirees should also prepare for required minimum distributions, or RMDs. Under current federal rules, withdrawals generally begin at age 73 for owners of traditional IRAs and many workplace retirement accounts, although the precise deadline can depend on the type of account and employment status. The Internal Revenue Service says most subsequent annual RMDs must be taken by Dec. 31.

Planning before those withdrawals become mandatory may give retirees more control over when taxable income is recognized. Waiting until RMDs begin could leave less flexibility, particularly for people with substantial balances in tax-deferred accounts.

A temporary federal tax deduction may provide another planning opportunity. From 2025 through 2028, qualifying taxpayers age 65 or older can claim an additional deduction of as much as $6,000 per person. An eligible married couple filing jointly could receive up to $12,000.

The deduction begins to phase out when modified adjusted gross income exceeds $75,000 for single filers or $150,000 for joint filers, according to IRS guidance. It is available to qualifying taxpayers whether they take the standard deduction or itemize.

Gaines also recommends evaluating retirement income as a whole. Social Security benefits, pensions, IRA distributions, investment income and Roth conversions can interact under federal tax rules. A decision involving one source may therefore change the tax treatment or financial impact of another.

The importance of timing

The final consideration is timing. Some strategies intended to affect a taxpayers 2026 position must be completed by Dec. 31 and cannot be implemented retroactively when a return is prepared in 2027.

Tax preparation tells you what already happened, Gaines said. Tax planning asks what we can still do before it happens.

The appropriate approach will vary by household, and actions such as Roth conversions can create immediate tax liabilities. Retirees should consider consulting qualified tax and financial professionals before making changes based on their income, accounts and long-term plans.

The Feds preferred inflation gauge moderated in August

By Mark Huffman of ConsumerAffairs

• Consumer spending jumped 0.9% in August, far outpacing the growth in household income.

• The Federal Reserves preferred inflation gauge rose 3.4% from a year earlier, while core inflation eased to 3.0%.

• The personal saving rate fell to 4.1%, suggesting some households may be dipping into savings or relying more heavily on credit.

American consumers opened their wallets in August, spending at a much faster pace even as inflation continued to take a bite out of household budgets.

Personal consumption expenditures increased 0.9% in August, according to the Commerce Departments Bureau of Economic Analysis report released Wednesday. That was a sharp acceleration from July and represented the largest monthly increase in consumer spending since March.

The spending surge is notable because incomes didn't keep pace. Personal income increased just 0.2% during the month, according to the report. After adjusting for inflation, disposable personal income was essentially flat.

That combination rapidly rising spending and relatively little growth in purchasing power could be an important warning sign for consumers.

The personal saving rate fell to 4.1%, its lowest level since November 2022. That suggests at least some households may be maintaining their spending by saving less or increasing their use of credit.

Inflation cooled, but remains elevated

There was somewhat better news on inflation.

The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index, or PCE, increased 0.3% from July and was 3.4% higher than a year earlier. The annual increase came in below economists' expectations.

Core PCE, which removes volatile food and energy prices and is closely watched by the Federal Reserve for underlying inflation trends, increased 0.2% for the month and 3.0% over the previous 12 months.

That's an improvement, but inflation remains well above the Federal Reserve's long-term 2% target.

The PCE index differs somewhat from the more familiar Consumer Price Index. While both measure inflation, PCE accounts for changes consumers make in their purchasing habits as prices change and covers a broader range of expenditures. The Federal Reserve therefore gives the PCE measure considerable weight when making interest-rate decisions.

Consumers aren't pulling back

Perhaps the most significant part of the August report is that consumers don't appear to be responding to higher prices by sharply cutting overall spending.

Spending increased on purchases including automobiles, restaurant meals and clothing, while higher prices for gasoline and other necessities also contributed to the increase in overall expenditures.

That's good news for economic growth because consumer spending represents the largest component of the U.S. economy. But the gap between spending and income could become harder to sustain if households increasingly have to tap savings or take on additional debt.

The August numbers also illustrate an important distinction for consumers: slower inflation doesn't mean prices are falling. It means prices are increasing more slowly.

Consumers paying with credit or debit cards wont see a change

By Mark Huffman of ConsumerAffairs

• Congress has given final approval to the Common Cents Act, formally ending production of pennies for general circulation.

• Existing pennies arent being canceled. They remain legal tender and consumers can continue spending them.

• As pennies become harder to find, businesses will be able to round cash purchases to the nearest nickel; purchases made by credit card, debit card and other noncash methods can still be charged to the exact cent.

The pennys days at the U.S. Mint are over, but that doesnt mean the pennies sitting in your change jar have suddenly become worthless.

Congress has given final approval to the Common Cents Act, legislation that formally directs the Treasury Department to stop producing one-cent coins for general circulation. The Senate approved the measure Sept. 28 after House passage, sending it to President Trump, who supports the legislation.

In practice, penny production had already ended. The federal government stopped manufacturing new pennies in 2025 as the cost of making the coin climbed far above its face value. Treasury says producing a penny had risen to 3.69 cents and estimates stopping production will save about $56 million annually in material costs.

The legislation addresses one of the biggest practical questions created by that decision: What happens when a cash purchase comes to $10.22 but the store doesn't have pennies to make change?

Cash purchases can be rounded

The Common Cents Act establishes a framework allowing cash transactions to be rounded to the nearest five cents when exact change isn't available.

Under the system, a cash total ending in 1, 2, 6 or 7 cents can be rounded down to the nearest nickel. A total ending in 3, 4, 8 or 9 cents can be rounded up.

For example:

A $10.21 cash purchase could become $10.20, while a $10.24 purchase could become $10.25. A $10.26 purchase could become $10.25, while $10.29 could become $10.30.

Importantly, the federal legislation permits this type of rounding but does not require every transaction to be rounded. Businesses that have pennies available can continue making exact change.

The rounding also applies to the final transaction total, rather than individual prices. A retailer would not, for example, have to change a $2.99 price tag to $3.

Cards will still be charged to the penny

Consumers who rarely use cash may notice virtually no difference.

Credit cards, debit cards, checks and electronic payments can continue to be processed to the exact cent. A $19.98 purchase charged to a credit card would still cost $19.98 rather than being rounded to $20.

Treasury has similarly recommended that rounding apply only to cash transactions and that taxes and other charges be calculated before the final cash amount is rounded.

That distinction could become increasingly noticeable at stores: the amount displayed on the register might be $24.97, for example, but a customer paying cash could pay $24.95 if the retailer is using rounding, while a customer using a card would pay exactly $24.97.

Don't throw your pennies away

Perhaps the most important point for consumers is that the penny isn't being demonetized.

Treasury says roughly 114 billion pennies remain in circulation, and the Federal Reserve can continue recirculating them. Existing pennies retain their face value and their status as legal tender.

Consumers therefore don't need to rush to cash in jars of pennies before a deadline. They can continue spending them, and financial institutions can continue accepting penny deposits, although banks may have their own rules requiring large quantities of coins to be rolled or wrapped.

Treasury has actually encouraged Americans to spend the pennies they already have, which could keep more coins circulating and make the transition easier for businesses.

Will rounding cost consumers money?

In an individual transaction, it could by as much as two cents. But another transaction could save the consumer the same amount.

Treasury argues that symmetrical rounding should prevent either shoppers or retailers from gaining a systematic advantage because some purchases round up and others round down. It says there should therefore be no overall effect on consumer prices from rounding.

The legislation also calls for federal officials to examine how the transition affects groups that rely more heavily on cash. The Federal Reserve's required planning includes an assessment of penny-supply disruptions and rounding on low-income communities, older consumers and people who are unbanked or underbanked.

For consumers, the simplest way to think about the change is this: Prices can still be stated to the penny, electronic payments can still be made to the penny, and the pennies you already own are still worth a penny.

What is disappearing is the government's production of new ones. Over time, as the existing supply dwindles, paying with cash is increasingly likely to mean rounding the final bill to the nearest nickel.

The new app replaces IRS2GO

By Mark Huffman of ConsumerAffairs

• The IRS has launched a new mobile app that replaces IRS2Go and provides access to more tax-account services from smartphones and tablets.

• Taxpayers can use the app to check refunds, view balances, make payments, read certain IRS notices, download tax records and retrieve an Identity Protection PIN.

• The IRS is warning consumers to watch for look-alike apps and and to download the app only through verified IRS links or official app stores.

The Internal Revenue Service is putting more of its services on consumers' smartphones, launching a new mobile app that provides taxpayers with access to information that previously often required visiting IRS.gov.

The new IRS app officially launched this month and replaces IRS2Go, the agency's mobile application that has been available for more than a decade. The IRS said the change is part of an effort to expand its digital services and make routine tax matters easier to handle from a mobile device.

"The new IRS app puts more services at taxpayers' fingertips," IRS CEO Frank J. Bisignano said in announcing the launch. He said the agency wants taxpayers to be able to interact with the IRS at home or while on the go.

The app is free and available through Apple's App Store and Google Play. It is offered in English and Spanish.

What taxpayers can do with the app

Some of the most useful features involve tasks that taxpayers may need to perform after filing a return.

After securely signing in, taxpayers may be able to:

• Check the status of a refund or amended return

• View their available tax balance

• Make payments and review payment activity

• Read selected IRS notices and letters

• Access tax records and transcripts

• Change certain profile and communication preferences

• Retrieve an Identity Protection PIN, or IP PIN.

Some services don't require taxpayers to sign in. Consumers can check their refund status, make certain payments and find free tax-filing assistance without logging into an account.

Taxpayers who do sign in use the same secure authentication process used for the IRS Individual Online Account. The app opens a secure browser window for authentication and then returns the taxpayer to the app.

The IRS says tax-account information displayed after a taxpayer signs in isn't permanently stored on the device. Information transmitted between the app and IRS systems is encrypted.

Existing IRS2Go users don't need a new download

Consumers who already have IRS2Go don't need to search for and download another application.

If automatic app updates are turned on, IRS2Go will be updated to the new IRS app through the normal update process. Otherwise, users can manually update the application through Apple's App Store or Google Play.

The IRS app currently requires iOS or iPadOS 15.1 or later on Apple devices and Android 7.0 or later on Android devices.

The agency stressed that the app doesn't replace IRS.gov. The website will continue to provide the agency's full range of tax information, forms, guidance and online services. Business Tax Account and Tax Pro Account services also aren't being moved into the app at this point.

Beware of fake IRS apps

The launch also creates a potential new opportunity for scammers.

The IRS is specifically warning taxpayers to be cautious of look-alike apps, online advertisements and unsolicited messages claiming to provide access to IRS accounts.

Consumers should use links provided through IRS.gov or verified listings in the Apple App Store and Google Play to make sure they're getting the genuine application.

That warning is especially important because a fraudulent app could be designed to collect Social Security numbers, passwords, bank information and other data useful for identity theft.

The IRS says it will not send an unsolicited text, email or pop-up message asking consumers to provide sensitive personal or financial information. Consumers receiving such a message shouldn't click its links or provide information.

The new app isn't finished evolving. The IRS says it plans to add more capabilities and services over time, potentially allowing taxpayers to handle an increasing number of routine tax matters without calling the agency or visiting IRS.gov.