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No recession risk for US economy as a whole after $11 billion shutdown hit, Bessent says
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent on Sunday said the 43-day government shutdown caused an $11 billion permanent hit to the U.S. economy, but he was optimistic about growth prospects next year given ... Read More
The US economy's 7 deadly signs
From homebuilding to trucking, major parts of the US economy are in deep trouble. The weakness could drag the whole country into a recession. Read More
Here’s what the latest inflation and spending data reveals about the US economy

Key monthly metrics from the US government continue to be released now that the shutdown has ended. Next up: September wholesale inflation and retail sales. Read More
Even AI can't save the US economy from one of its biggest risks, Moody's Mark Zandi says

Moody's economist Mark Zandi warns that the trend of deglobalization will act as a headwind that could offset the boost provided by AI next year. Read More
Investing legend Mohamed El-Erian says he's kept up at night by 2 big problems with the US economy

Weakness among lower-income Americans could spread and "contaminate" other parts of the US economy, El-Erian warned. Read More
This recipe for a growing U.S. economy shows little sign of recession

When the U.S. economy shows sign of deep stress, one of the first things Americans strike from their budgets are takeout dinners and going out to restaurants. It’s one of the best early warning signs ... Read More
An unusual trend in the economy is worrying the Fed

Something in the US economy isn’t adding up, and it’s rattling the people charged with wrangling inflation and keeping the labor market intact. Read More
This vital ingredient suggests the U.S. economy is still faring OK — with no recession brewing

When the U.S. economy shows sign of stress, one of the first things Americans strike from their budgets are takeout dinners and going out to restaurants. It’s one of the best early warning signs of ... Read More
The US economy added 119,000 jobs in September, but unemployment rose to a nearly four-year high

One of the most hotly anticipated economic reports is finally set to be released Thursday: the long-delayed jobs report for September, originally due on October 3. Read More
The Chipotle indicator: Is the economy teetering on a recession or nah?

This is The Takeaway from today's Morning Brief, which you can sign up to receive in your inbox every morning, along with: The chart of the day What we're watching What we're reading Economic data ... Read More
Is the US in recession?

It often seems that economists are perpetually warning us about the next U.S. recession. One influential analyst says an economic slowdown is already a fact of life for many Americans. Twenty-two ... Read More
If the economy is good, why do some Americans still feel like everything is ‘falling apart’?

Brett Holzhauer, 31, thought he had achieved everything he had set out to accomplish: a college education, a well-paying job as a writer, a primary residence, and two investment properties. But this ... Read More
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