Economists See Lower Recession Risk and Stronger Job Growth: WSJ Survey

Forecasters nudge up growth and trim inflation estimates as tariffs prove lower and less costly than expected in April. Read More

The US is staring down a fate worse than recession, and 4 other bold forecasts from a top economist

When the US saw stagflation in the '70s and '80s, the unemployment rate peaked at about 9% in 1975, before cooling and rising to another peak of 10.8% in the early '80s, according to the Bureau of ... Read More

There's Still A Chance Of Recession In 2025. What To Watch

Economists say a recession is an unlikely in the second half of 2025, but not out of the question if President Donald Trump's tariffs hit harder than expected or war engulfs the Middle East. Read More

4 signs the economy is in worse shape than we thought

Labor market, consumer spending, and revised GDP data show the economy is facing serious headwinds. Read More

The World Economy Is on the Brink of Epochal Change

Capitalism’s operating system is due for a major upgrade. How that turns out depends on enormously consequential political choices. Read More

Top economist warns: US faces a crisis worse than recession — here’s what could be coming

Wall Street economist Torsten Sløk warns the US economy faces stagflation due to Trump's tariffs, potentially halving GDP growth to 1.2% this year. Inflation is expected to remain high, around 3% by ... Read More

Here's why these 4 top economists say a recession is now likely

While the dreaded R-word has been looming over the economy for years, one top economist said this week that the risk of a recession has climbed to 90%. The last time the US was in a recession was ... Read More

Is the US in a Recession? Smartest Takes on Tariffs, Jobs, the Economy ...

A chartbook from Apollo showed that a recession could begin this summer. But Sløk said it's not too late to avoid one. The US could form some kind of agreement with Mexico, Canada, China, and others. Read More

If The Economy Avoids A Recession, It's Not Out Of The Woods - Investopedia

If the U.S. economy avoids a downturn caused by tariffs, economists see growing risks of financially painful "stagflation." Forecasters are still divided on whether President Donald Trump's trade ... Read More

What could a Trump recession look like? The economic ... - Morningstar

If yes, then we would be forecasting a U.S. recession," said chief economist Douglas Porter of BMO Capital Markets. For now, his firm is predicting subpar growth of less than 1% in 2025. Read More

Will the tariffs lead to a recession? What to know. - Boston.com

Economists at Goldman Sachs have raised their assessment of the odds the US will experience a recession — where the economy shrinks and unemployment rises — to 45%, from 35% last week. Skip to ... Read More

Russia’s economy minister says the country is on ‘the brink of recession’

Russia's Economy Minister Maxim Reshetnikov says the country is on the brink of a recession. Reshetnikov delivered the warning Thursday at the St. Read More