Economy News How The World Economy Could Avoid Recession The Economist

How markets could topple the global economy

The shock, and weaker American demand, would spill over to low-growth Europe and deflationary China, compounding the blow to exporters from President Donald Trump’s tariffs. And because foreigners ... Read More

Recessions have become ultra-rare. That is storing up trouble

Interventionist fiscal policy may have stopped demand from collapsing. But the intervention is so large that politicians are distorting the economy’s allocation of resources. The longer the recession ... Read More

Even AI can't save the US economy from one of its biggest risks, Moody's Mark Zandi says

Moody's economist Mark Zandi warns that the trend of deglobalization will act as a headwind that could offset the boost provided by AI next year. Read More

Reopening government could avert recession, but risks remain, economists say

A return of federal-worker backpay and the resumption of SNAP benefits, meanwhile, is set to undo most of the economic damage incurred by the shutdown, the analysts said. Still, they added, the ... Read More

Has America’s economy gone K-shaped? Here’s what to know

For those on the upper arm, things are going well. The top 10% of U.S. households now account for nearly half of all consumer spending, buoyed by record stock market highs. Hourly pay is now rising ... Read More

Trump Aides Raise Recession Fears, and Point Fingers at the Fed

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said some sectors were in a recession as he argued for more interest rate cuts. Read More

Economist Mark Zandi says these 22 states have slipped into recession based on 2 clear indicators — could the ripple effects hit your wallet next?

The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) defines a recession as a "significant decline in economic activity that is spread across the economy and that lasts more than a few months." In practice ... Read More

If New York or California enters a recession, the entire U.S. economy would be next. So how are they doing?

As two of the country's biggest states by GDP, their economies 'may be canaries in the coal mine,' one economist notes The economies of California and New York could be proverbial canaries in the coal ... Read More

Could the government shutdown tip the US into a recession? Experts weigh in

The U.S. economy remains largely unscathed but pressure could mount. The U.S. economy remains largely unscathed by the government shutdown, but the nation could risk economic peril if the impasse ... Read More