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Even AI can't save the US economy from one of its biggest risks, Moody's Mark Zandi says
Moody's economist Mark Zandi warns that the trend of deglobalization will act as a headwind that could offset the boost provided by AI next year. Read More
Rolling, rolling, rolling — recession. Can the American economy boom and bust at the same time? Apparently it can, says Morgan Stanley. Here's how.

Confused by the predictions? Even the experts can't agree — but one theory might explain what's really going on. Read More
2 global economic risks Mohammed El-Erian is losing sleep over
It used to be the global trade war that kept Allianz chief economic adviser, Mohamed El-Erian, up at night, but now there are two other economic risks he views as threats: the pressure lower-income ... Read More
The government shutdown is spurring recession fears — and experts say these 6 warning signs are flashing. Are you seeing them?
The economy may not be in total collapse, but the warning signs are flashing. Before the official data catches up, everyday indicators like boxes, “struggle meals” and thrift stores might be hinting ... Read More
Recessions have become ultra-rare. That is storing up trouble
Interventionist fiscal policy may have stopped demand from collapsing. But the intervention is so large that politicians are distorting the economy’s allocation of resources. The longer the recession ... Read More
US economy at risk of wobble as lower-income consumers get squeezed

The U.S. consumer's durability as a prop for the economy may be tested in coming weeks as family budgets, particularly among the less affluent, are stressed by rising healthcare costs, the potential ... Read More
Is artificial intelligence our economy’s friend or foe?
AI adoption is in the early stages, but it could be implemented in ways that boost the economy, economist Mark Zandi writes. Read More
If New York or California enters a recession, the entire U.S. economy would be next. So how are they doing?

As two of the country's biggest states by GDP, their economies 'may be canaries in the coal mine,' one economist notes The economies of California and New York could be proverbial canaries in the coal ... Read More
Trump’s flailing on the economy is worse than Biden’s
President Donald Trump’s recent commentary on the economy is drawing plenty of comparisons to then-President Joe Biden, but he seems to have a bigger political problem, for several reasons. Read More
Could the government shutdown tip the US into a recession? Experts weigh in

The U.S. economy remains largely unscathed but pressure could mount. The U.S. economy remains largely unscathed by the government shutdown, but the nation could risk economic peril if the impasse ... Read More
Economic forecast shows AI and life sciences could drive growth in Indiana
IU’s economic team forecasts growth in life sciences will have a strong influence on the state economy next year. Eli Lilly, Roche, Corteva and Elanco are some of the largest businesses in the sector ... Read More
Protecting investments in a recession

There is so much doom and gloom on the world news at the moment, and it is becoming increasingly evident that a number of nations are on the precipice of a recession. Even on our own doorstep, anyone ... Read More
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