The US economy has likely stalled, with a 50% risk of recession in 2 years, say Barclays analysts. What to consider if the Fed doesn’t cut rates soon

In a research note published Aug. 25, Barclays economists shared their view that the U.S. economy has likely entered a “stall state.” The bank's “tipping points” model now places odds of a recession ... Read More

Jamie Dimon gives pessimistic outlook on US economy and says full impact of Trump tariffs hasn’t happened yet

Jamie Dimon gives pessimistic outlook on US economy and says full impact of Trump tariffs hasn’t happened yet - Economy ‘weakening’ though recession isn’t certain, JPMorgan’s Dimon says ... Read More

The US economy has come down with a case of early-onset stagflation

Two key reports released Thursday showed the US economy may be in a state of early-onset stagflation — a toxic one-two punch of slow economic growth and rising prices. Read More

US will dodge recession, but Trump's policies will slow economic growth: Report

President Donald Trump’s aggressive economic policies will likely significantly slow U.S. growth and push up inflation but stop short of causing a recession or “stagflation” – the dire scenarios that ... Read More

The economist who thinks the US is on the verge of a recession tells us how he sees a potential downturn playing out

Moody's chief economist Mark Zandi has made it clear he's concerned about the US economy. He recently said that the US is "on the precipice of recession." While he doesn't think we're in one yet, he ... Read More

Job growth stalls: US economy added just 22,000 jobs in August and unemployment rose to highest level since 2021

Job growth slowed to a crawl in August, and the unemployment rate rose to its highest level in nearly four years, indicating the US labor market is growing stagnant. The economy added just 22,000 jobs ... Read More

Softer U.S. Economic Growth Expected For Q3 GDP Report

The US economy remains on track to post a moderate downshift in growth in next month’s third-quarter GDP report. Read more here. Read More

The US housing market's historic slump could send inflation plummeting in the coming year

Inflation could be about to see a big drop, even with tariffs still looming over the economy. The US housing market will be a big driver of headline disinflation, according to Rosenberg Research, ... Read More