Recession Warnings Are Everywhere, Except in the Data

Mainstream measures have been slow to detect the impact of tariffs and uncertainty, leaving economists to scour earnings calls and private-sector data sources. Read More

U.S. economy went into reverse in the first quarter, new GDP data shows

The economy shrank 0.3% in the first three months of the year, a steep downturn from the pace of growth in 2024. Read More

Forbes Recession Tracker: Apollo Says 90% Chance Of ‘Voluntary’ Recession Heavily Impacting Small Businesses

Fears of a sharp economic downturn due ... in a last Sunday interview with NBC News: “Right now we are at a decision-making point and very close to a recession, and I’m worried about something ... Read More

Despite Slipping GDP, Employers Aren’t Turning to Layoffs—Yet

New data shows companies created 177,000 jobs in April, but the impact of tariffs is expected to hit in May and could send the economy into recession. Read More

GDP Report Today: Why the U.S. Economy Isn't as Weak as It Looks

Follow here for live coverage and analysis of the latest economic data. Two major reports are due today: GDP and PCE inflation. Read More

Trump's 'Economic Fantasy' in Trouble as US Lurches Toward Recession

Following data showing a decline in GDP, economists have offered their perspectives on the outlook for the U.S. economy. Read More

Recession? Stagflation? GDP decline a warning sign, but economy not in danger zone yet.

The economy contracted in the first quarter for the first time in three years, but it doesn’t mean the economy is rushing toward a recession. At least not yet. Read More

U.S. GDP Contracts As Recession Odds Tick Up With Fed On Hold

Real economic growth in the United States contracted 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025. Read More

How Close Is The U.S. To A Recession? Here’s What Key Indicators Say.

That means the U.S. economy could avoid sinking into an all-out recession, even if Q2 GDP is negative, if it recovers quickly. Is The Labor Market Showing Signs Of A Recession? (and What Is The ... Read More

The Economy Just Shrank. Are We In A Recession?

The U.S. economy contracted in the first quarter, but it takes more than one bad quarter of GDP for a recession to officially begin. Read More

Trump's tariffs roiled markets but data shows a solid economy. Here's why.

Apparent economic strength owes in part to a lag in data, experts said. Market turmoil and recession warnings have ... Economists who spoke to ABC News said the apparent dissonance between the ... Read More

April jobs report: Employers added robust 177,000 jobs as Trump's tariffs kicked in

US employers added 177,000 jobs in April as Trump's tariffs took effect; unemployment at 4.2%, April jobs report shows. Read More