The US economy has likely stalled, with a 50% risk of recession in 2 years, say Barclays analysts. What to consider if the Fed doesn’t cut rates soon

In a research note published Aug. 25, Barclays economists shared their view that the U.S. economy has likely entered a “stall state.” The bank's “tipping points” model now places odds of a recession ... Read More

A top economist says there's an 'uncomfortably high' chance that the US is heading into a recession in the next year

Moody's economist Mark Zandi is worried that the US is barreling toward a recession, pegging the odds of a downturn at close to 50% in the next year. Read More

US Can Avoid Recession If 'Well-To-Do' Continue To Spend, Says Moody's Economist: 'If They Turn More Cautious...'

Mark Zandi, the chief economist at Moody’s Analytics, highlighted the role of the wealthy in driving the U.S. economy. Top 20% US Households’ Spending Outpaces Inflation Zandi took to X to point out ... Read More

Major bank raises red flag on US economy — warns of 93% chance of recession based on ‘hard data.’ Here are 5 crucial money moves you need to make now

Recently, global investment bank UBS announced that, after crunching some “hard data” from between May and July 2025, there’s a 93% chance of the U.S. entering a recession this year [1]. Read More

Economic Data Has Taken a Dark Turn. That Doesn’t Mean a Crash Is Near.

Inflation is up and job creation down, but the U.S. economy could still pull through without too much pain. By Lydia DePillis At the moment, the American economy feels a little bit like a hot August ... Read More

U.S. economy grew faster in the second quarter than initially estimated

The U.S. economy expanded faster between April and June than previously estimated, as growth bounced back after slumping in the first quarter, new government data shows. The Commerce Department said ... Read More

The US economy’s rebound in the second quarter was stronger than previously reported

Washington (CNN) — The US economy’s rebound in the second quarter was stronger than previously reported, thanks to consumers who stepped up their spending despite jitters over President Donald Trump’s ... Read More