Recession Warnings Are Everywhere, Except in the Data

Mainstream measures have been slow to detect the impact of tariffs and uncertainty, leaving economists to scour earnings calls and private-sector data sources. Read More

If The Economy Avoids A Recession, It's Not Out Of The Woods

If the U.S. economy avoids a downturn caused by tariffs, economists see risks of financially painful "stagflation." ... Read More

How Close Is The U.S. To A Recession? Here’s What Key Indicators Say.

The GDP, the labor market and consumer confidence all offer measures to tell whether the U.S. economy is close to a recession or not, no matter what Wall Street or the White House say. Read More

What Is a Soft Landing for the Economy? Will We Have One?

Each rate hike has a lag time of about 12 to 18 months before it makes a material impact on the economy. So far, the Fed's rate hikes are ... about a 'hard landing,' or a recession, anyway." ... Read More

The Economy Just Shrank. Are We In A Recession?

The U.S. economy contracted in the first quarter, but it takes more than one bad quarter of GDP for a recession to officially begin. Read More

3 signs the US economy is nearing a recession have flashed in the last week, SocGen says

The European bank has warned of a recession to hit the US ... on a soft-landing. According to the bank's chief global strategist, Albert Edwards, stocks and the economy have flashed a number ... Read More

Recession warning issued by Citigroup economist as long-term impact looms

Citigroup's Chief Economist Nathan Sheets said Trump's recent attack on the Fed preemptively shows an "implicit admission of these negative effects." ... Read More

Trump’s Tariffs Put Fed Chair Powell in a ‘No-Win Situation’

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said recently that the U.S. economy ... large tariff hikes, many of which are set to take effect Wednesday, will push the economy closer to a recession by ... Read More