Economy News A Hard Landing Recession Is Guaranteed As The Full Impact Of Fed Rate Hikes Have Yet To Hit The Economy, Morgan Stanley S Chief Economist Says

Rolling, rolling, rolling — recession. Can the American economy boom and bust at the same time? Apparently it can, says Morgan Stanley. Here's how.

Confused by the predictions? Even the experts can't agree — but one theory might explain what's really going on. Read More

Trump Aides Raise Recession Fears, and Point Fingers at the Fed

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said some sectors were in a recession as he argued for more interest rate cuts. Read More

U.S. Recession Probability Falls After Fed Resumes Rate Cuts, Set To Fall Further

We project that in the next six weeks, the probability of a U.S. recession getting started in the next twelve months will be around 21%. Read More

Fed lowers interest rates as it struggles to assess state of US economy without key government data

Even in the best of times, the Fed has a tough time interpreting the data and deciding how best to guide the US economy. Read More

Fed Risks a Recession if It Doesn’t Cut Rates Rapidly, a Top Official Warns

Stephen I. Miran, the newest member of the central bank’s Board of Governors, thinks some of his colleagues are too worried about inflation. Read More