Economy News A Hard Landing Recession Is Guaranteed As The Full Impact Of Fed Rate Hikes Have Yet To Hit The Economy, Morgan Stanley S Chief Economist Says

U.S. Recession Probability Falls After Fed Resumes Rate Cuts, Set To Fall Further

We project that in the next six weeks, the probability of a U.S. recession getting started in the next twelve months will be around 21%. Read More

Fed struggles to assess state of US economy as government shutdown shuts off key data

Even in the best of times, the Fed has a tough time interpreting the data and deciding how best to guide the US economy. Read More

Government shutdown impact on economy depends on length, breadth of outage, Fed's Goolsbee says

CHICAGO, Sept 30 (Reuters) - The impact of a government shutdown on the economy depends on how widespread the closure is and how long it lasts, Chicago Federal Reserve President Austan Goolsbee said ... Read More

A top economist says a prolonged government shutdown could derail Fed policy and rattle markets

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