The US economy has likely stalled, with a 50% risk of recession in 2 years, say Barclays analysts. What to consider if the Fed doesn’t cut rates soon

In a research note published Aug. 25, Barclays economists shared their view that the U.S. economy has likely entered a “stall state.” The bank's “tipping points” model now places odds of a recession ... Read More

‘No One Should Be Very Confident’: Four Economists Dissect Trump and the Economy

Ms. Patterson is an economist who has held senior roles at JPMorgan Chase and Bridgewater Associates. Mr. Cass, Dr. Furman and Dr. Summers are economists and contributing Opinion writers. Read More

Is the Economy as Healthy as Trump Claims?

Trump says Americans are experiencing the “best economy we’ve ever had.” Experts say the economy is solid, but the labor market looks much more wobbly than it did at the start of the year. They’re ... Read More

The Fed’s Own Economists Disagree Where the Economy Is Heading

The median forecast among the central bankers puts the fed funds rate at 3.6 percent by year-end, though projections span from 2.9 percent to 4.4 percent. Powell, asked whether the historic downward ... Read More

Why the Fed’s rate cut might not boost the economy

Not in recent years, however. Pay close attention to this history when analyzing the Federal Reserve’s imminent interest-rate decision. The yield curve is likely to become even more upwardly sloping ... Read More

Economy 'On the Brink' of Recession by End of Year, Moody's Economist Warns

In an interview with Newsweek, Mark Zandi outlined the risks to the U.S. economy and how it could skirt—or slip into—a downturn. Read More

Will the Fed cut rates today? See 5 economic charts that may determine its decision.

With the U.S. economy facing headwinds, the Federal Reserve faces pressure to trim interest rates this week for the first time since December 2024. Read More

Takeaways: If you’re confused about what’s next for the US economy, so is the Fed

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday lowered interest rates for the first time since December to support America’s faltering labor market. However, the economy’s path forward looks murky, according to the ... Read More

The Fed just cut rates. But relief might not come quickly enough for some Americans

The Federal Reserve cut interest rates on Wednesday for the first time this year, a move that could provide some relief for Americans from the higher cost of living. But there is a deepening ... Read More

ExplainSpeaking: How Trump’s tariffs are hurting the US economy

Trump and his supporters have claimed that far from the apocalyptic collapse many mainstream economists foresaw under the new tariff regime, the US economy has remained robust. We evaluate this claim ... Read More