The US economy has likely stalled, with a 50% risk of recession in 2 years, say Barclays analysts. What to consider if the Fed doesn’t cut rates soon

In a research note published Aug. 25, Barclays economists shared their view that the U.S. economy has likely entered a “stall state.” The bank's “tipping points” model now places odds of a recession ... Read More

Goldman Sachs chief economist: US economy is in 'stall speed'

Goldman Sachs' chief economist Jan Hatzius expects growth to be 'relatively slow' before beginning to improve in 2026 following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts. Read More

Moody’s economist: US avoids recession if well-to-do ‘keep spending’

Moody’s Analytics chief economist Mark Zandi said Tuesday the U.S. economy will likely avoid a recession if the wealthiest individuals continue to spend at the current rate. In a post on the social ... Read More

AI's economic boost isn't showing up in GDP, and Goldman says that's a $115 billion blind spot

AI added $160 billion to the US economy, but only $45 billion appears in GDP because of how growth is measured. Read More