The US economy has likely stalled, with a 50% risk of recession in 2 years, say Barclays analysts. What to consider if the Fed doesn’t cut rates soon

In a research note published Aug. 25, Barclays economists shared their view that the U.S. economy has likely entered a “stall state.” The bank's “tipping points” model now places odds of a recession ... Read More

The US economy has come down with a case of early-onset stagflation

Two key reports released Thursday showed the US economy may be in a state of early-onset stagflation — a toxic one-two punch of slow economic growth and rising prices. Read More

IMF sees strains in US economy

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Thursday said the U.S. economy was showing signs of strain after a series of dismal job reports and uncertainty on tariff revenue. “What we’ve ... Read More

IMF Says US Economy Showing Strains; Tariffs Pose Some Risks to Inflation

IMF spokesperson Julie Kozack said inflation was on a path to meet the Federal Reserve's 2% target, but there were some risks that could push it higher, largely as a result of tariffs imposed on ... Read More

US economy in recession soon? State-level data signals downturn ahead as Moody’s warns Trump’s tariffs add looming risk

U.S. economy may be closer to recession than Washington admits. Fresh state-level data shows key regions like California and New York already faltering, and Moodys chief economist Mark Zandi warns ... Read More

US economy adds fewer jobs than expected in August, confirming slowdown

In August, the US added just 22,000 jobs with the unemployment standing at 4.3%, the highest in nearly four years. It is the first report since President Trump fired the former head of the Bureau of ... Read More

Cracks in the US economy: Job growth slows 75% from a year ago

The U.S. now has had four months in a row of pretty anemic job growth. Average job growth between May and August was down 75% from the same period a year ago. The weakness was visible all across the ... Read More

US Fed Officials More Concerned With Inflation Risk Than Jobs: Minutes

"The labor market will be the swing factor on whether the Fed cuts interest rates in September or not," said Economist Ryan Sweet of Oxford Economics. A majority of Federal Reserve officials found ... Read More

Worried About the Economy? Here are 4 Reasons to Be Optimistic

Yes, there are warning signs flashing about the health of America's economy, but there are encouraging signs as well. Read More

Fed Chair Jerome Powell signals job market, inflation outlook could allow for interest rate cut

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell on Friday said that the "balance of risks appears to be shifting" in the U.S. economy, as central bank policymakers weigh labor market conditions and inflation data ... Read More