How Close Is The U.S. To A Recession? Here’s What Key Indicators Say.

The GDP, the labor market and consumer confidence all offer measures to tell whether the U.S. economy is close to a recession or not, no matter what Wall Street or the White House say. Read More

Forbes Recession Tracker: Apollo Says 90% Chance Of ‘Voluntary’ Recession Heavily Impacting Small Businesses

Fears of a sharp economic downturn ... there are overwhelming odds Trump’s trade war will sink the U.S. into a recession. US President Donald Trump flanked by his two top economic officials ... Read More

Economists say odds are high that the U.S. is heading toward a recession

The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER ... What are the odds of a recession? The odds of a recession are "very high," Steve Blitz, managing director of global macro strategies and chief U.S. Read More

More than 60% of CEOs expect a recession in the next 6 months as tariff turmoil grows, survey says

A growing majority of America’s top executives now expects the U.S. economy to enter a recession ... the lowest since late 2012 and have tanked around 29% from the end of 2024. The survey ... Read More

Betting Markets Now See One-in-Two Chance of U.S. Recession

The chances of a U.S. recession this year have fallen after President ... recently put a 55% likelihood on the economy entering a recession this year. Those odds had surged to nearly 70% Wednesday. Read More

Economy will likely slow to near-standstill or recession despite Trump tariff pause: Survey

The effective, or average, U.S. tariff ... to the economy. Consumer sentiment in April fell to the lowest level since June 2022 and Americans' inflation expectations a year from now rose to ... Read More

What are the odds of a US recession? Here's how this economic expert calls it

Summers predicted a U.S. recession was ... 8% during the next few years because of inflation and looming tariffs. There’s “an epic level of uncertainty” with the economy due to tariffs ... Read More

If The Economy Avoids A Recession, It's Not Out Of The Woods

Diccon Hyatt is an experienced financial and economics reporter who has covered the pandemic-era economy in hundreds of stories over the past two ... U.S. economy faces at this point." Do you have ... Read More

Odds of U.S. Recession Hit 70% on Betting Market Kalshi

Bettors on prediction-market startup Kalshi are assessing the chances of the U.S. economy entering a ... another popular betting market, the odds of a U.S. recession in 2025 stood at 65% on ... Read More

Consumer Sentiment Plummets Again as Recession Warnings Increase

The mood of Americans continues to worsen as concern over President Donald Trump’s tariffs and predictions from corporate leaders of an impending U.S. recession prey on consumer sentiment, the ... Read More

Economy will likely slow to near-standstill or recession despite Trump tariff pause: Survey

Forecasters have a bleak outlook on the U.S. economy ... lowest level since June 2022 and Americans' inflation expectations a year from now rose to 6.7%, the highest since 1981, according to a ... Read More

Economy will likely slow to near-standstill or recession despite Trump tariff pause: Survey

Forecasters have a bleak outlook on the U.S. economy because of ... countries − and they see the odds of a recession as a toss-up. The experts predict the economy will nearly stall in 2025 ... Read More