The US economy has likely stalled, with a 50% risk of recession in 2 years, say Barclays analysts. What to consider if the Fed doesn’t cut rates soon

In a research note published Aug. 25, Barclays economists shared their view that the U.S. economy has likely entered a “stall state.” The bank's “tipping points” model now places odds of a recession ... Read More

The Two-Speed Economy Is Back as Low-Income Americans Give Up Gains

High-earners and older Americans are faring better than ever, while fortunes are sliding again for low-wage and young workers. Read More

IMF says US economy showing strains; tariffs pose some risks to inflation

The U.S. economy is showing some strains after years of resilience, with domestic demand moderating and job growth slowing, the International Monetary Fund said on Thursday. Read More

The US economy has come down with a case of early-onset stagflation

Two key reports released Thursday showed the US economy may be in a state of early-onset stagflation — a toxic one-two punch of slow economic growth and rising prices. Read More

US will dodge recession, but Trump's policies will slow economic growth: Report

President Donald Trump’s aggressive economic policies will likely significantly slow U.S. growth and push up inflation but stop short of causing a recession or “stagflation” – the dire scenarios that ... Read More

Economic Data Has Taken a Dark Turn. That Doesn’t Mean a Crash Is Near.

Inflation is up and job creation down, but the U.S. economy could still pull through without too much pain. By Lydia DePillis At the moment, the American economy feels a little bit like a hot August ... Read More