The US economy has likely stalled, with a 50% risk of recession in 2 years, say Barclays analysts. What to consider if the Fed doesn’t cut rates soon

In a research note published Aug. 25, Barclays economists shared their view that the U.S. economy has likely entered a “stall state.” The bank's “tipping points” model now places odds of a recession ... Read More

‘No One Should Be Very Confident’: Four Economists Dissect Trump and the Economy

Ms. Patterson is an economist who has held senior roles at JPMorgan Chase and Bridgewater Associates. Mr. Cass, Dr. Furman and Dr. Summers are economists and contributing Opinion writers. Read More

The Economy Looks Shaky. So, Why Is The Stock Market Surging?

Key Takeaways Stock values have hit record highs, while measures of the economy's health have deteriorated in recent months.Experts have identified several reasons the stock market is defying economic ... Read More

Why the Fed’s rate cut might not boost the economy

The yield curve refers to the difference between interest rates at shorter and longer maturities. Shorter-term rates BX:TMUBMUSD02Y typically are lower than longer-term ones BX:TMUBMUSD10Y. But at ... Read More