The US economy has likely stalled, with a 50% risk of recession in 2 years, say Barclays analysts. What to consider if the Fed doesn’t cut rates soon

In a research note published Aug. 25, Barclays economists shared their view that the U.S. economy has likely entered a “stall state.” The bank's “tipping points” model now places odds of a recession ... Read More

The Economy Looks Shaky. So, Why Is The Stock Market Surging?

There's a massive disconnect between different indicators of the economy's health: economic indicators are waving red flags about employment and inflation, while financial markets are surging, seeing ... Read More

Beware 'stall speed' in the job market, which could start a vicious cycle of unemployment

If the job market hits stall speed, unemployment could stay elevated for another year, one strategist told BI. Read More

Signs of economic distress are mounting. How long can stock investors keep ignoring them?

The mantra for investors right now is "bad news is good news," but what if that relationship suddenly flips? Read More

Powell faces economic crossroads in Jackson Hole speech as Fed chair tenure nears end

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a keynote address at the annual Jackson Hole event on Friday at a crucial time as the economy anticipates the central bank's next interest rate cut and ... Read More