The US economy has likely stalled, with a 50% risk of recession in 2 years, say Barclays analysts. What to consider if the Fed doesn’t cut rates soon

In a research note published Aug. 25, Barclays economists shared their view that the U.S. economy has likely entered a “stall state.” The bank's “tipping points” model now places odds of a recession ... Read More

US economy grew at a faster pace in Q2 following Commerce Department revision

The U.S. economy grew at a revised 3.3% rate in Q2 2025, exceeding initial estimates and economist predictions based on the Commerce Department's latest GDP data. Read More

America’s job market flashes yet another warning sign about the economy

• The latest employment snapshot from the Bureau of Labor Statistics paints a bleak picture of the current state of the economy under President Donald Trump. • Labor market deterioration: Just 22,000 ... Read More

Economic Data Has Taken a Dark Turn. That Doesn’t Mean a Crash Is Near.

Inflation is up and job creation down, but the U.S. economy could still pull through without too much pain. By Lydia DePillis At the moment, the American economy feels a little bit like a hot August ... Read More

What would happen if America started faking its economic data? Here’s what happened when other countries did it

Lying to your lenders is a bad enough idea when you’re an individual. It’s even worse when you’re a country. That’s the specter critics of President Donald Trump have raised after he fired the head of ... Read More

Trump, when in trouble, throws tantrums. The economy is his latest conniption. | Opinion

President Donald Trump applies a very simple – and deeply dishonest – approach to telling the story of America’s economy: Everything his opponents do is designed to destroy it, and only he can fix it. Read More

US keeping lofty EU car tariffs until levies on American goods lowered — as large economies lock in trade deal

The US will keep higher tariffs on European carmakers in place until the EU lowers rates on American goods — as two of the world’s largest economies finally locked in a framework trade deal initially ... Read More

Powell faces economic crossroads in Jackson Hole speech as Fed chair tenure nears end

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will deliver a keynote address at the annual Jackson Hole event on Friday at a crucial time as the economy anticipates the central bank's next interest rate cut and ... Read More

The A.I. Spending Frenzy Is Propping Up the Real Economy, Too

The trillions of dollars that tech companies are pouring into new data centers are starting to show up in economic growth. For now, at least. By Lydia DePillis It’s no secret by now, as investors ... Read More