What Can The 2022 Midterms Tell Us About 2024? - FiveThirtyEight

Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below has been lightly edited. nrakich (Nathaniel Rakich, senior elections analyst): The 2022 midterm… ... Read More

Three special elections that tell us nothing about November

Another massive swing occurred in the special election to replace the expelled Rep. George Santos (R-NY), who was elected to represent New York‘s 3rd Congressional District in the 2022 midterm ... Read More

What Virginia's special elections tell us about the bigger ballot box battles to come in 2025, 2026 - Fox News

Politics What Virginia's special elections tell us about the bigger ballot box battles to come in 2025, 2026 The closely-watched elections were seen as the first gauge of the mood of voters since ... Read More

Can Google Searches Tell Us Something The Polls Can’t?

A president’s approval rating is traditionally tied to how his party performs in a midterm election, but Democrats have been outpacing President Biden in the polls for months. In Part 1 of this ... Read More

At Least 120 Republican Nominees Deny The Results Of The 2020 Election - FiveThirtyEight

This election cycle, FiveThirtyEight is tracking the views of every Republican candidate for Senate, House, governor, attorney general and secretary of state on the legitimacy of the 2020 election. Read More

What Polls Can Tell Us, Beyond the Horse Race

What Polls Can Tell Us, ... according to a tracker from FiveThirtyEight. ... See more on: 2024 Elections: News, Polls and Analysis, Kamala Harris, Donald Trump. Read More

Should Democrats be excited about special election gains? Nope.

The data on special elections can be wonky. Fewer people turn out to the polls in non-presidential election years. In Brevard County, home to two of the three June races, 17% of eligible voters cast ... Read More

Democrats are overperforming in 2023's special elections. Is it a clue for Biden vs. Trump? - ABC News

For comparison, according to FiveThirtyEight, Democrats outperformed the weighted partisan lean by about 4% in special elections held between the 2018 midterms and the 2020 elections, when Biden ... Read More

What Democratic swings in special elections mean for 2026

Special elections have had significant shifts towards the Democrats since Trump returned to office, an indicator of potential success in the 2026 Midterms. Read More

What the polls can’t tell us about America’s election - Financial Times

There have been 907 polls conducted by 141 pollsters regarding next month’s US presidential election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, according to data from aggregator FiveThirtyEight ... Read More

Could Republicans Lose House Majority? Special Elections Explained - MSN

It is more likely the GOP candidates will win the two special elections in Florida, with Democrats retaining the seats in Arizona and Texas. This would give the GOP a 220-215 majority in the House ... Read More

FiveThirtyEight founder on election odds: It's a high-stakes moment - MSN

Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight founder, joins 'Money Movers' to discuss the upcoming 2024 presidential election, election odds, risk-taking this election, and more. CNBC Posted: August 26, 2024 ... Read More