The Surprising Place Analysts Look to for Election Forecasting

The Surprising Place Analysts Look to for Election Forecasting Washington State’s primaries have a record of predicting the national mood, making it a bellwether of sorts. Listen to this article ... Read More

Washington a surprising choice for analysts forecasting elections

News; Nation/World; Washington a surprising choice for analysts forecasting elections Sept. 28, 2024 Updated Sat., Sept. 28, 2024 at 7:34 p.m. A voter casts her ballot during primary elections on ... Read More

Silver vs Lichtman: Which election prediction models can you trust?

WASHINGTON – As voters look to polls and political analysts for insight into who might win the presidency on Tuesday, a feud between two of the nation’s leading election prognosticators, Allan ... Read More

The Senate playing field is moving toward Republicans

Two prominent election forecasting models now paint the race for the Senate majority as the purest of toss ups, a clear shift in Republicans’ direction in recent months. CNN values your feedback 1. Read More

'Big responsibility': In 2020, even armchair election analysts see ...

Volvi Einhorn is a full-time architect in Brooklyn, New York, not a political operative, so you wouldn't think he'd be a wild card in the election.. But in his spare time, Einhorn and two friends ... Read More

Election forecasters preparing for historic election - UB Reporter

International Journal of Forecasting published last month.. Each of the articles demonstrates the challenges of election forecasting, according to Campbell, chair of UB's Department of Political ... Read More

The secret truths of election forecasting - The Washington Post

But evaluating forecasting models will require many years of elections, not just November’s. If Election Lab calls all 36 races correctly and no one else does, we won’t be dancing in the end zone. Read More

Election analysts: Conole, Wells favored to win CNY primary elections ...

Conole, an Iraq War veteran from Syracuse, is likely to emerge as the winner of Tuesday’s primary over three other Democrats, analysts determined at the election forecasting website FiveThirtyEight. Read More

Meet the Election Denier Forecasting the 2024 Race

Seth Keshel has become a darling among election deniers by factoring widespread voter fraud — the existence of which has been widely debunked — into his election predictions. Read More

The surprising place analysts look to for election forecasting

If after every Washington primary election between 2000 and 2022 you predicted that the country as a whole would shift left or right by the same level as the state’s primaries, you would have ... Read More