Why Election Polling Has Become Less Reliable

Less than a week from Election Day, the polls show U.S. presidential candidates Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in a dead heat—an unsatisfying result for anyone looking for a way to reduce the ... Read More

Are the polls even reliable? Experts examine election polling predictions from 1980 to 2024 - MSN

Nevertheless, in the same New York Times article where he issues a glum forecast for Biden based on polls, chief political analyst Nate Cohn acknowledges the polls from the 2020 election were ... Read More

How to Read the Polls Ahead of the Election - The Atlantic

In a 2022 research paper titled “Election Polls Are 95 Percent Confident but Only 60 Percent Accurate,” Aditya Kotak and Don Moore of UC Berkeley analyzed 6,000 polls from 2008 through 2020. Read More

The Truth About Polling - MSN

Polling methodology has shifted radically since 2008; voting patterns and demographics are ever-changing too. Heck, Barack Obama won Indiana in 2008; recent polls suggest that Harris is losing ... Read More

What is behind the simmering information war on polling

A few days before November’s presidential election, Ann Selzer, then considered the gold standard of polling in politics, released a highly anticipated poll for the Des Moines Register on where ... Read More

Election experts oppose hand-counting ballots. Here's why.

Election experts resoundingly agree that hand-counting ballots takes longer than counting with machines, it's less reliable, and it's a logistical nightmare for U.S. elections — including in ... Read More

Election 2024: How Did We Do? - Rasmussen Reports®

The three most important things in polling are accuracy, accuracy and accuracy. Now that the results of the 2024 election are known, we’re happy to report that Rasmussen Reports maintained its ... Read More

Gilbert: The Wisconsin polling data that should trouble Democrats - Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Here are the partisan breakdowns of the Wisconsin electorate since the poll began in January 2012, combining all the surveys within each election cycle to get larger and more reliable samples. Read More