Fed independence, US rule of law at risk, UBS reserve managers survey says

Two in three reserve managers fear Federal Reserve independence is at risk and nearly half think the rule of law in the United States may deteriorate enough to influence their asset allocation ... Read More

There's a nearly 75% chance the Fed triggers a US recession within 2 years, which could cost Biden re-election, new study says - AOL

Bloomberg Economics says there's now a 72% chance of a downturn by the first quarter of 2024, which could threaten Biden's bid for re-election. Read More

Why There's a 70% Chance of Recession: Bloomberg's Chief Economist - Business Insider

There's a 70% chance the US economy is either in a recession or headed toward one in the months ahead, according to Bloomberg Economics Chief US Economist Anna Wong. Read More

'Bond King' Gundlach Warns of a 75% Chance of a US Recession Next Year - Markets Insider

'Bond King' Jeff Gundlach says the Fed's devotion to big rate hikes means there's now a 75% chance of a US recession next ... "But now they're so committed to this 2% that I think the odds of a ... Read More

The US May Dodge Recession Again Next Year, Former Fed President Says - Business Insider

The US dodged a recession in 2023. There's a good chance it does it again in 2024, former top Fed official says. ... The GDP grew by nearly 5% in the third quarter of this year, ... Read More

Everyone expected a recession. The Fed and White House found a way out. - The Washington Post

There’s been a lot of good news, ... “Forecast for US Recession Within Year Hits 100% in Blow to Biden,” a Bloomberg News ... Biden vowed not to interfere in the Fed’s campaign to raise ... Read More

Tariffs to trigger sharp US economic slowdown, chance of recession jumps to 45%: Reuters Poll | Reuters

BENGALURU, April 17 (Reuters) - An aggressive U.S. tariff policy will trigger a significant slowdown in the U.S. economy this year and next, with the median probability of recession in the next 12 ... Read More

Powell says a strong US economy is letting the Fed be ‘cautious’ about cutting interest rates

“The US economy is in very good shape, and there’s no reason for that not to continue,” Powell said at an event hosted by The New York Times. “The good news is that we can afford to be a ... Read More

Goldman Sachs economists raise 'limited' risk of US recession to 25% chance: report - New York Post

Economists at Goldman Sachs raised the likelihood of the U.S. economy slipping into a recession within the next 12 months from 15% to 25% while continuing to view the risk of recession as limited. Read More

There's a nearly 75% chance the Fed triggers a US recession within 2 years, which could cost Biden re-election, new study says - Markets Insider

Bloomberg Economics says there's now a 72% chance of a downturn by ... There's a nearly 75% chance the Fed triggers a US recession within 2 years, which could cost Biden re-election, new study says. Read More