Who's winning 2024 US presidential election today? What Pa, swing state polls show

Will Kamala Harris or Donald Trump be the next US President? Here are the latest poll results for Pennsylvania and swing states on election Day 2024 ... Read More

Once again, polls missed a decisive slice of Trump voters in 2024

As America’s pollsters and polling aggregators conduct their postmortems on the 2024 presidential election, some are already saying that their pre-election surveys got it right, noting the close ... Read More

How 538's 2024 presidential election forecast works

Dive into the weeds of our new Harris-Trump model. For 2024, 538 has built a new presidential election forecast model. This article explains how we did it: the ingredients that go into the forecast, ... Read More

Which is the better 2024 predictor: polls or special elections?

Republicans hope the former, Democrats the latter. But it's complicated. When it comes to predicting the 2024 election, it’s choose your own adventure. Republicans can point to national polls finding ... Read More

Presidential election polls 2024: Latest surveys on Harris vs. Trump with 6 days to go

Editor’s Note: Follow along here for the latest presidential polls for Thursday, Oct. 31. The race for the White House remains incredibly tight as Democrat Kamala Harris maintains an ever so slight ... Read More

How Top Pollsters Grade 2024’s Polls

Despite a pretty accurate year, the pre-election polls once again underestimated support for Donald Trump. Does that make it a successful polling cycle, or not? By Kaleigh Rogers Illustrations by T.M. Read More

Trump would still beat Harris in 2024 revote, survey finds — despite president’s flagging polls

Nope, Americans still don’t want Kamala. According to the Emerson College poll of registered voters, 94% of Trump voters said they would do so again if they were given the chance to go back in time to ... Read More

Trump won more than half of foreign-born Hispanics — still would have beaten Harris if every eligible person voted in 2024 election: analysis

President Trump won more than half of foreign-born Hispanic voters in the 2024 election and still would’ve beat former Vice President Kamala Harris had every eligible voter turned out to the polls, an ... Read More

Kamala Harris, Donald Trump rematch? Poll shows shocking result for 2024 election do-over

What would happen if America took a mulligan on the 2024 election? A new poll has answered that question -- with disastrous results for President Donald Trump. The Strength in Numbers/Verasight poll ... Read More

The impact of inflation on the 2024 presidential election

David A. Steinberg is an associate professor of international political economy at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies. His research focuses on the politics of international ... Read More