Why No Recession Yet? Thank the US Consumer - Bloomberg

Allison Schrager is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering economics. A senior fellow at the Manhattan Institute, she is author of “An Economist Walks Into a Brothel: And Other Unexpected Places ... Read More

US recession? Here's what to know if US economy crashes - KOIN.com

J.P. Morgan Chase economists believe the chances of a recession are at 40%, “owing to extreme US policies,” Bloomberg reported. Then, a different projection from the New York Federal Reserve ... Read More

US Recession Becomes Closer Call as Economists Rethink Forecasts

Some of the forecasters who were first out of the box to predict a US recession are starting to hedge their bets as inflation ebbs and the economy remains resilient. Deutsche Bank Vice Chair of ... Read More

Why the US Stock Market Is Looking Past the ‘Earnings Recession’

The US economy has continued to grow over the past year, but momentum is slowing and rising interest rates are leading to higher corporate borrowing costs, helping to drive the earnings recession. Read More

The real risk of a recession, and other key points about the US economy right now

Writing TKer is a process. I first catch up on news and research, and I see what topics are being debated. Then I settle on an angle. Then I draft the newsletter. Then I edit. Then I have an editor ... Read More

The Black Swan Risk Now Is a US Recession - Bloomberg

A soft landing for the US economy has now become such a consensus view, it makes sense to consider the risk that something else occurs and what that means for risk assets. The data suggest the ... Read More

US Recession Odds Rise on Higher Interest Rates ... - Bloomberg.com

Odds of the US economy backsliding into a recession are higher now than a month ago after steady interest-rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and growing risks of tighter credit conditions in the ... Read More

Why There's a 70% Chance of Recession: Bloomberg's Chief Economist ...

There's a 70% chance the US economy is either in a recession or headed toward one in the months ahead, according to Bloomberg Economics Chief US Economist Anna Wong. Read More

What is a recession, and are we in one? | PIX11

Schipper said. “They’re not in the business of trying to predict [a recession] ahead of time, or even necessarily while we’re in it. They get the benefit of having a lot of data after the ... Read More

Economists Say Trade War Makes US Recession Almost a Coin Flip

The US economy is set to expand 1.4% in 2025 and 1.5% in 2026, according to the latest Bloomberg survey of economists, compared with 2% and 1.9% in last month’s poll. Read More

Schwarzman Says US to Avoid Recession Regardless of Election

Blackstone Inc. Chief Executive Officer Steve Schwarzman said the US is likely to avoid a recession regardless of who wins the presidential election, as both candidates have policy proposals that ... Read More

JPMorgan Drops US Recession Call After US-China Trade Truce

JPMorgan Chase & Co. boosted its forecast for US economic growth after a temporary trade deal between the US and China, dropping its earlier call that the world’s largest economy would sink into ... Read More