The US economy may have avoided a recession so far. Here's how that could change.

Wall Street firms have raised their odds of a year-end recession, citing growing risks from President Trump's escalating trade policies. But with tariffs creating whiplash for businesses and consumers ... Read More

The US will see a recession by year-end that could spark a 30% drop in the stock market, legendary forecaster Gary Shilling says

Investors should be prepared for ... mortgage bubble — said he saw a recession coming by the end of the year as the job market continued to weaken. That could be the final blow to the stock ... Read More

Don't panic: There are 4 reasons the US can still avoid a recession in 2025

The US economy is on "fertile ground" to see a recovery in the second half of 2025, Wells Fargo says. Read More

Americans fear an imminent recession. That may be enough to put us in one

Still, Bernstein sees a roughly 50/50 chance of a US recession because of the stagflationary shock from tariffs, which are expected to simultaneously slow the economy and increase prices. The policy ... Read More

Forbes Recession Tracker: Apollo Says 90% Chance Of ‘Voluntary’ Recession Heavily Impacting Small Businesses

US President Donald Trump flanked by his two ... his bank’s baseline economic forecast does not call for a recession this year, but other big banks’ economic models still indicate the chance ... Read More

The US might avoid a recession, but it won't be unscathed if the European economy tanks

Others say the US will avoid one altogether. But even if the country does avoid its second recession in three years, a struggling European economy could hinder ... the US won't be able to get ... Read More

Tariffs to trigger sharp US economic slowdown, chance of recession jumps to 45%: Reuters Poll

BENGALURU, April 17 (Reuters) - An aggressive U.S. tariff policy will trigger a significant slowdown in the U.S. economy this year and next, with the median probability of recession in the next 12 ... Read More