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What exactly is a recession? Economists say odds of one in the US are high.
But what exactly is a recession? Start the day smarter. Get all the news you need in your inbox each morning. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) defines a recession as a “significant ... Read More
Americans fear an imminent recession. That may be enough to put us in one

Still, Bernstein sees a roughly 50/50 chance of a US recession because of the stagflationary shock from tariffs, which are expected to simultaneously slow the economy and increase prices. The policy ... Read More
The stock market may not have fully priced in a recession: Chart of the Week

As the dust settles and markets wait for more information on the result of the administration's 90-day tariff pause ... placed the odds of a recession in the next 12 months at 45%, well above ... Read More
US consumer sentiment, inflation expectations deteriorate sharply in April

The University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers ... recession. Consumers' 12-month inflation expectations soared to 6.7% this month, the highest reading since 1981, from 5.0% in March. Over the ... Read More
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