Global Growth Forecast Is Lifted but Risks Loom, O.E.C.D. Says

The rebound is unfolding at an uneven speed around the world, and geopolitical ... the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development, a think tank in Paris, said in its latest economic survey. Read More

America’s reckless borrowing is a danger to its economy—and the world’s

That leaves the third and most worrying option: making creditors pay. America would never be forced by the markets to default, because the Federal Reserve can act as a buyer of last resort. Fiscal ... Read More

The U.S. economy and stocks have likely dodged a recession: El-Erian

Three issues are key to deciphering what 2024-25 will hold for the U.S. economy, which is now the sole major engine of global growth: the Federal Reserve’s reaction function; the resilience of ... Read More

In the Market: Economic surprises are messing with the market's favorite recession predictor

A bond market anomaly that has reliably predicted a U.S. recession in the past may normalize this year in a highly unusual manner. It's a worry for markets. Read More

Nearly 30% of Bankers Worried about a Severe US & Global Recession

A new report from The Federal Reserve System reveals that 30% of bankers believe that the US and world economy is heading into recession. Read More

We have more insights as to where the economy is headed — and it's not good

Microsoft won't stop splashing the cash on AI. In its own quarterly earnings report, the Redmond-based firm said it would continue investing in artificial intelligence and cloud services because of ... Read More

Opinion: The U.S. economy and stocks have likely dodged a recession: El-Erian

Chastened by that experience, most forecasters entered 2024 with quite a rosy outlook, anticipating that America’s growth exceptionalism would continue, as would solid investment returns. Yet the ... Read More