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Economic News Reports

Using measures that builds on the Sahm rule, a new indicator says there's a 40% chance the US is in a recession that started as early as March.
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Posted: 2024-08-12 10:32:14

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Economy News: There's a 40% chance the US economy is already in a recession, according to a new indicator - Newscast

Donald Trump Might Have Avoided a Brutal Recession

Thu, 15 May 2025 10:46:28 GMT US recession fears, which surged in late April 2025 following a Q1 GDP contraction and President Trump’s tumultuous tariff announcements that led economists to predict a 60%+ recession likelihood, ...

Jamie Dimon says a US recession is still possible even after trade tensions cool

Thu, 15 May 2025 08:47:00 GMT JPMorgan economists this week said the risk of a recession had fallen below 50%. Trade war volatility has eased, but Dimon said risks remain.

Market Recession Indicators: Dissecting the Signal From the Noise

Wed, 07 May 2025 21:02:50 GMT U.S. consumer confidence slumped to a nearly five-year low in April. Consumer spending is key because it accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. economic activity. A euro zone investor morale index ...

Recession Warnings Are Everywhere, Except in the Data

Wed, 07 May 2025 08:59:00 GMT Mainstream measures have been slow to detect the impact of tariffs and uncertainty, leaving economists to scour earnings calls and private-sector data sources.

How Close Is The U.S. To A Recession? Here’s What Key Indicators Say.

Tue, 06 May 2025 13:07:14 GMT The GDP, the labor market and consumer confidence all offer measures to tell whether the U.S. economy is close to a recession or not, no matter what Wall Street or the White House say.

YouTube Business News Playlists

IMF Video: Global and Regional Economic Developments and Outlook

Global and Regional Economic Developments and Outlook
Play Video: Global and Regional Economic Developments and Outlook


This high-level event that will bring together policymakers, business leaders, diplomats, and academics to explore how global and regional developments impact countries in the Middle East and North Africa. Amid heightened global uncertainty, the discussions will focus on the policy actions required to foster sustained growth, stability, and shared prosperity across the region.

Published: 15th May 2025 04:15:59   By: IMF

IMF Video: Rising to the challenge: Europe’s path to growth and resilience

Rising to the challenge: Europe’s path to growth and resilience
Play Video: Rising to the challenge: Europe’s path to growth and resilience


The sharply deteriorating global order is adding further complications to Europe’s already challenging economic situation. New tariffs come at a time when economies are grappling with structural transformations in demographics and energy, and amidst increasing security spending needs. Export markets are shrinking, uncertainty is undermining firms’ willingness to innovate, and public expenditure needs are rising. Without a turnaround in growth, Europe’s ability to deliver on its social welfare promises is in jeopardy. If European policymakers were to seize the moment, the region’s growth potential and resilience to shocks could rise substantially.

Published: 13th May 2025 06:38:10   By: IMF

IMF Video: آفاق الاقتصاد الإقليمي لمنطقة الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا: ثلاث رسائل أساسية

آفاق الاقتصاد الإقليمي لمنطقة الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا: ثلاث رسائل أساسية
Play Video: آفاق الاقتصاد الإقليمي لمنطقة الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا: ثلاث رسائل أساسية


جهاد أزعور من صندوق النقد الدولي يعرض ثلاث رسائل أساسية حول أحدث الآفاق الاقتصادية لمنطقة الشرق الأوسط وشمال إفريقيا. تعرف على دور عدم اليقين العالمي المتزايد، والصراعات الإقليمية، والحاجة إلى تعزيز القدرة على الصمود في تشكيل الآفاق الاقتصادية للمنطقة. اقرأ التقرير الكامل: ]رابط[ https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/REO/MECA/Issues/2025/04/24/regional-economic-outlook-middle-east-central-asia-april-2025

Published: 7th May 2025 08:06:51   By: IMF

IMF Video: Perspectives économiques régionales pour le Moyen-Orient et l’Afrique du Nord: 3 messages principaux

Perspectives économiques régionales pour le Moyen-Orient et l’Afrique du Nord: 3 messages principaux
Play Video: Perspectives économiques régionales pour le Moyen-Orient et l’Afrique du Nord: 3 messages principaux


Jihad Azour, du FMI, communique trois messages principaux issus de la dernière édition des Perspectives économiques régionales pour le Moyen-Orient et l’Afrique du Nord. Découvrez comment l’incertitude mondiale croissante, les conflits régionaux et la nécessité de renforcer la résilience façonnent les perspectives économiques de la région. Lire le rapport dans son intégralité : https://www.imf.org/fr/Publications/REO/MECA/Issues/2025/04/24/regional-economic-outlook-middle-east-central-asia-april-2025

Published: 7th May 2025 03:14:23   By: IMF

IMF Video: Caucasus and Central Asia Economic Outlook: Resilience, Risks, and Policy Priorities – April 2025

Caucasus and Central Asia Economic Outlook: Resilience, Risks, and Policy Priorities – April 2025
Play Video: Caucasus and Central Asia Economic Outlook: Resilience, Risks, and Policy Priorities – April 2025


Jihad Azour, IMF’s Director of the Middle East and Central Asia Department, shares three key messages from the latest economic outlook for the Caucasus and Central Asia. Learn how the region exceeded expectations in 2024 and is expected to moderate in 2025, what’s ahead, and why building economic resilience is more important than ever. Read the full report: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/REO/MECA/Issues/2025/04/24/regional-economic-outlook-middle-east-central-asia-april-2025?cid=sm-com-ig-SM2025-REOMCDEA2025001

Published: 5th May 2025 11:49:45   By: IMF

World Economic Forum Video: Unlocking Europe's Potential

Unlocking Europe
Play Video: Unlocking Europe's Potential


Two recent landmark reports on the European Union's economy paint an unforgiving picture of its vulnerabilities, suggesting the region faces the prospect of "slow agony". At current productivity and demographic trends, Europe's economic output is forecast to be the same in 2050 as it is today. With much of the power to correct course residing in national capitals, what will it take for leaders to rise to the challenge? This is the full audio from a session at the Forum's Annual Meeting on 22 January, 2025. Watch it here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VqghCwdxqHo Speakers: Nicolas Hieronimus, Chief Executive Officer, L'Oréal Roula Khalaf, Editor, Financial Times Robert Habeck, Vice-Chancellor and Federal Minister for Economic Affairs and Climate Action, Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Climate Action of Germany Belen Garijo, Chair of the Executive Board and Chief Executive Officer, Merck Christine Lagarde, President, European Central Bank Check out all our podcasts on wef.ch/podcasts (http://wef.ch/podcasts) :  YouTube: (https://www.youtube.com/@wef/podcasts) - https://www.youtube.com/@wef/podcasts Radio Davos (https://www.weforum.org/podcasts/radio-davos) - subscribe (https://pod.link/1504682164) : https://pod.link/1504682164 Meet the Leader (https://www.weforum.org/podcasts/meet-the-leader) - subscribe (https://pod.link/1534915560) : https://pod.link/1534915560 Agenda Dialogues (https://www.weforum.org/podcasts/agenda-dialogues) - subscribe (https://pod.link/1574956552) : https://pod.link/1574956552 Join the World Economic Forum Podcast Club (https://www.facebook.com/groups/wefpodcastclub) : https://www.facebook.com/groups/wefpodcastclub

Published: 12th May 2025 05:20:30   By: World Economic Forum

World Economic Forum Video: Shipping Emissions Deal & How Australia Cut Beach Plastic By A Third | WEF | Top Stories Week

Shipping Emissions Deal & How Australia Cut Beach Plastic By A Third | WEF | Top Stories Week
Play Video: Shipping Emissions Deal & How Australia Cut Beach Plastic By A Third | WEF | Top Stories Week


0:14 - This solar fridge keeps food fresh during power cuts - Defy, which is the South African arm of the appliance manufacturer Beko, has developed these fridges for use off-grid, making them ideal for remote rural communities. 2:09 - This free coding school in Morocco trains students for tech jobs - The 1337 Coding School has no teachers and no traditional classrooms, instead using peer-based and project-based learning models. 2:09 - Australia cut beach plastic by over a third. Here’s how - Australia has set a goal of ending plastic waste and aims to reduce it 80% by 2030 4:27 - This historic deal will cut shipping emissions - A majority of countries in the International Maritime Organization have made a groundbreaking agreement to steer shipping towards decarbonization, reaching net zero by 2050. ______________________________________________________________________ The World Economic Forum is the International Organization for Public-Private Cooperation. The Forum engages the foremost political, business, cultural and other leaders of society to shape global, regional and industry agendas. We believe that progress happens by bringing together people from all walks of life who have the drive and the influence to make positive change. World Economic Forum Website ► http://www.weforum.org/ Facebook ► https://www.facebook.com/worldeconomicforum/ YouTube ► https://www.youtube.com/wef Instagram ► https://www.instagram.com/worldeconomicforum/  Twitter ► https://twitter.com/wef LinkedIn ► https://www.linkedin.com/company/world-economic-forum TikTok ► https://www.tiktok.com/@worldeconomicforum Flipboard ► https://flipboard.com/@WEF #WorldEconomicForum

Published: 10th May 2025 11:00:33   By: World Economic Forum

World Economic Forum Video: Radio Davos | Stock markets and supermarkets how business is deploying AI

Radio Davos | Stock markets and supermarkets how business is deploying AI
Play Video: Radio Davos | Stock markets and supermarkets how business is deploying AI


The World Economic Forum is the International Organization for Public-Private Cooperation. The Forum engages the foremost political, business, cultural and other leaders of society to shape global, regional and industry agendas. We believe that progress happens by bringing together people from all walks of life who have the drive and the influence to make positive change. World Economic Forum Website ► http://www.weforum.org/ Facebook ► https://www.facebook.com/worldeconomicforum/ YouTube ► https://www.youtube.com/wef Instagram ► https://www.instagram.com/worldeconomicforum/  Twitter ► https://twitter.com/wef LinkedIn ► https://www.linkedin.com/company/world-economic-forum TikTok ► https://www.tiktok.com/@worldeconomicforum Flipboard ► https://flipboard.com/@WEF #WorldEconomicForum

Published: 9th May 2025 06:30:20   By: World Economic Forum

World Economic Forum Video: Radio Davos | "Pause reality" - Platon on photography, power and AI

Radio Davos | "Pause reality" - Platon on photography, power and AI
Play Video: Radio Davos | "Pause reality" - Platon on photography, power and AI


The World Economic Forum is the International Organization for Public-Private Cooperation. The Forum engages the foremost political, business, cultural and other leaders of society to shape global, regional and industry agendas. We believe that progress happens by bringing together people from all walks of life who have the drive and the influence to make positive change. World Economic Forum Website ► http://www.weforum.org/ Facebook ► https://www.facebook.com/worldeconomicforum/ YouTube ► https://www.youtube.com/wef Instagram ► https://www.instagram.com/worldeconomicforum/  Twitter ► https://twitter.com/wef LinkedIn ► https://www.linkedin.com/company/world-economic-forum TikTok ► https://www.tiktok.com/@worldeconomicforum Flipboard ► https://flipboard.com/@WEF #WorldEconomicForum

Published: 9th May 2025 12:28:35   By: World Economic Forum

World Economic Forum Video: Think your teams are engaged? Look at this key metric, says this Adecco Exec

Think your teams are engaged? Look at this key metric, says this Adecco Exec
Play Video: Think your teams are engaged? Look at this key metric, says this Adecco Exec


The World Economic Forum is the International Organization for Public-Private Cooperation. The Forum engages the foremost political, business, cultural and other leaders of society to shape global, regional and industry agendas. We believe that progress happens by bringing together people from all walks of life who have the drive and the influence to make positive change. World Economic Forum Website ► http://www.weforum.org/ Facebook ► https://www.facebook.com/worldeconomicforum/ YouTube ► https://www.youtube.com/wef Instagram ► https://www.instagram.com/worldeconomicforum/  Twitter ► https://twitter.com/wef LinkedIn ► https://www.linkedin.com/company/world-economic-forum TikTok ► https://www.tiktok.com/@worldeconomicforum Flipboard ► https://flipboard.com/@WEF #WorldEconomicForum

Published: 7th May 2025 09:14:58   By: World Economic Forum

Reuters Video: World's first large-scale e-methanol plant opens in Denmark | REUTERS

World
Play Video: World's first large-scale e-methanol plant opens in Denmark | REUTERS


As the world's first commercial-scale e-methanol plant begins operations in Denmark, shipping giant Maersk, toymaker Lego and drugmaker Novo Nordisk have signed up as buyers for the zero-emission fuel. #News #Reuters #Newsfeed #environment #shipping #sustainable #fossilfuels Read the story here: https://reut.rs/4j5MLJI 👉 Subscribe: http://smarturl.it/reuterssubscribe Keep up with the latest news from around the world: https://www.reuters.com/ Follow Reuters on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Reuters Follow Reuters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/Reuters Follow Reuters on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/reuters/?hl=en

Published: 15th May 2025 07:20:27   By: Reuters

Reuters Video: Walmart warns of higher prices as Trump tariffs start to bite | REUTERS

Walmart warns of higher prices as Trump tariffs start to bite | REUTERS
Play Video: Walmart warns of higher prices as Trump tariffs start to bite | REUTERS


Walmart, the world's largest retailer, will have to start raising prices later this month due to the high cost of tariffs, executives said, in a clear signal that President Trump's trade war is filtering through to the American economy. #News #Reuters #Newsfeed #Retail #Walmart Read the story here: https://reut.rs/3FbvO2v 👉 Subscribe: http://smarturl.it/reuterssubscribe Keep up with the latest news from around the world: https://www.reuters.com/ Follow Reuters on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Reuters Follow Reuters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/Reuters Follow Reuters on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/reuters/?hl=en

Published: 15th May 2025 06:59:29   By: Reuters

Reuters Video: Alibaba misses quarterly revenue estimates | REUTERS

Alibaba misses quarterly revenue estimates | REUTERS
Play Video: Alibaba misses quarterly revenue estimates | REUTERS


Alibaba posted quarterly revenue that missed analysts' estimates, as the e-commerce group works on new strategies to keep consumers spending amid persistent economic weakness in China and uncertainty over the impact of tariffs. #Alibaba #china #ecommerce #results #revenue #News #Reuters #Newsfeed Read the story here: https://reut.rs/42ZOcEQ 👉 Subscribe: http://smarturl.it/reuterssubscribe Keep up with the latest news from around the world: https://www.reuters.com/ Follow Reuters on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Reuters Follow Reuters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/Reuters Follow Reuters on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/reuters/?hl=en

Published: 15th May 2025 03:43:33   By: Reuters

Reuters Video: Crypto Weekly: A violent attack, a Bitcoin bounce back | REUTERS

Crypto Weekly: A violent attack, a Bitcoin bounce back | REUTERS
Play Video: Crypto Weekly: A violent attack, a Bitcoin bounce back | REUTERS


From an attack on the daughter of a crypto businessman in Paris to Bitcoin getting a bounce back, here are the crypto stories to keep an eye on this week #crypto #business #bitcoin #coinbase #News #Reuters #Newsfeed 👉 Subscribe: http://smarturl.it/reuterssubscribe Keep up with the latest news from around the world: https://www.reuters.com/ Follow Reuters on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Reuters Follow Reuters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/Reuters Follow Reuters on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/reuters/?hl=en

Published: 15th May 2025 02:53:28   By: Reuters

Reuters Video: Shein to set up Vietnam warehouse amid US trade tensions | REUTERS

Shein to set up Vietnam warehouse amid US trade tensions | REUTERS
Play Video: Shein to set up Vietnam warehouse amid US trade tensions | REUTERS


Fast-fashion online retailer Shein is leasing a huge warehouse in Vietnam, its first in the country, in a move that could reduce its exposure to unpredictable US-China trade tensions, two people familiar with the deal told Reuters. #retail #shein #business #News #Reuters #Newsfeed Read the story here: https://reut.rs/4kjd14d 👉 Subscribe: http://smarturl.it/reuterssubscribe Keep up with the latest news from around the world: https://www.reuters.com/ Follow Reuters on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/Reuters Follow Reuters on Twitter: https://twitter.com/Reuters Follow Reuters on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/reuters/?hl=en

Published: 15th May 2025 01:17:43   By: Reuters

Business Video: Walmart warns it will raise prices due to tariffs

Walmart warns it will raise prices due to tariffs
Play Video: Walmart warns it will raise prices due to tariffs


Walmart, the world’s largest retailer, warned that is not immune from President Donald Trump’s tariffs. It plans to raise prices on some items as Trump’s global trade war sends the company’s costs higher. #CNN #News

Published: 15th May 2025 03:00:41   By: CNN

Business Video: Businesses say they are struggling to survive amid Trump tariffs

Businesses say they are struggling to survive amid Trump tariffs
Play Video: Businesses say they are struggling to survive amid Trump tariffs


The United States and China to drastically roll back tariffs on each other’s goods for an initial 90-day period, in a surprise breakthrough that has de-escalated a punishing trade war and buoyed global markets. The announcement, which was made in a joint statement, comes after a weekend of marathon trade negotiations in Geneva, Switzerland by officials from the world’s two largest economies, during which both sides touted “substantial progress.” #CNN #News

Published: 15th May 2025 12:53:50   By: CNN

Business Video: America's ports soon could face a surge from stockpiling

America
Play Video: America's ports soon could face a surge from stockpiling


US ports are facing a dramatic slowdown in cargo – but they could see the exact opposite in a matter of weeks. Starting Wednesday, cargo leaving China bound for the United States will carry a 30% tariff rate – a reduction from the higher 145% tariff that was in place for six weeks. The United States and China announced a dramatic de-escalation in tariffs on Monday, lowering cripplingly high rates for 90 days. Experts say retailers will likely frontload more cargo during the pause, working against the clock to bring in inventory before things change again. #CNN #News

Published: 14th May 2025 07:58:55   By: CNN

Business Video: Top Trump economic adviser downplays small business worries about tariffs

Top Trump economic adviser downplays small business worries about tariffs
Play Video: Top Trump economic adviser downplays small business worries about tariffs


Director of the White House National Economic Council Kevin Hassett joins The Lead. #CNN #News

Published: 14th May 2025 12:19:39   By: CNN

Business Video: Inflation slows more than expected in April despite tariff pressure

Inflation slows more than expected in April despite tariff pressure
Play Video: Inflation slows more than expected in April despite tariff pressure


US inflation slowed to its lowest rate in more than four years, an unexpected and welcome development at a time when President Donald Trump’s dramatically escalated tariffs are expected to cause prices to rise. Consumer prices rose 0.2% last month, bringing the annual inflation rate to 2.3%, an unexpectedly cooler reading than the 2.4% increase seen in March, according to the latest Consumer Price Index data released Tuesday by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It’s the lowest annual rate since February 2021, and the April data was slightly better than expected. Economists expected that the CPI would rise 0.3% from March and hold steady at 2.4% for the 12 months ended in April, according to FactSet. #CNN #News

Published: 13th May 2025 07:10:47   By: CNN

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