The September shopping cart index is a mixed bag of grocery prices

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Whole Bean Coffee saw the largest year-over-year increase, jumping 30.4% from September 2024.
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Honey Nut Cereal and American Cheese Singles both declined year-over-year, signaling relief in some breakfast staples.
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Bacon rose again in September, up 1.1% from August, continuing its summer surge.
The ConsumerAffairs Datasembly Shopping Cart Index for September 2025 shows a mixed basket of grocery prices, with staples like coffee and bacon continuing to climb while cereals and dairy showed mild declines.
The total Cart cost edged down 0.7% from last September, and slightly down 0.5% month-over-month from August.
Biggest year-over-year increases
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Whole Bean Coffee (12 oz): Up from $11.90 to $15.51, a sharp 30.4% jump, making it the biggest mover in the index. Rising global coffee bean prices and tight supply from major producers like Brazil continue to pressure U.S. consumers.
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Bacon (16 oz): Climbed 10% year-over-year, from $8.11 to $8.92, following continued volatility in pork prices.
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Honey Wheat Bread (20 oz): Rose 12%, from $3.29 to $3.69, reversing price stability seen earlier this year.
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Organic Eggs (1 dozen): Up 10.2%, reaching $6.35, though slightly lower than Augusts $6.45 peak.
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Cola (2 liters): Increased 6.2%, from $2.91 to $3.09, after a summer of elevated sugar and production costs.
Products That Got Cheaper
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Honey Nut Cereal: Down 0.9% month-over-month and a notable 0.9% year-over-year, continuing a six-month softening trend as manufacturers adjust prices amid stronger supply.
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American Cheese Singles: Dropped 3.6% from last year, a relief for dairy shoppers.
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Salted Butter: Fell 14% year-over-year, reflecting a cooldown from 2024s inflation-driven peaks.
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Tomato Ketchup: Slipped slightly, down 0.8%, perhaps benefiting from better tomato yields this season.
Some pantry and household itemsincluding paper towels, dish detergent, laundry detergent, milk, and peanut butterremained unchanged year-over-year and month-over-month, underscoring that household goods inflation has plateaued.
Month-Over-Month Highlights
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Bacon and Cola both inched up slightly from August, adding a bit of heat to late-summer shopping bills.
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Whole Bean Coffee cooled slightly ($0.01) from Augusts spike, though prices remain high.
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Organic Eggs also eased $0.10 from August, suggesting a possible price correction after summer highs.
Total Basket Trends
The total Shopping Cart Index for September 2025 came in at $152.21, down from $153.29 a year ago and $151.90 in August. The annual decline marks a 0.7% year-over-year drop, suggesting grocery inflation is finally leveling off after two years of steep climbs.
While some relief is appearing in dairy and breakfast foods, luxury staples like coffee and bacon continue to keep pressure on grocery budgets. The September data offers a hint of stabilizationbut for caffeine lovers, the morning brew is still costing more than ever.
The September Shopping Cart Index
Product |
August 2025 |
September 2024 |
September 2025 |
Penne Pasta 16 oz |
1.91 |
1.96 |
1.94 |
Select-a-size Paper towels |
22.99 |
22.99 |
22.99 |
Solid White Albacore Tuna in water 5oz |
2.2 |
2.21 |
2.2 |
Condensed Chicken Noodle Soup 10.75 oz |
1.45 |
1.44 |
1.45 |
Cola Bottle 2 liters |
3.1 |
2.91 |
3.09 |
Whole Milk Half Gallon |
2.73 |
2.73 |
2.73 |
Whole Bean Coffee 12oz |
14.5 |
11.9 |
15.51 |
Organic eggs 1 dozen |
6.45 |
5.76 |
6.35 |
Waffles 10 count, 12.3 oz |
3.2 |
3.29 |
3.2 |
Frosted donuts 8 count |
5.45 |
5.29 |
5.45 |
Tomato ketchup 20 oz |
3.91 |
3.91 |
3.88 |
Mayonnaise 30 oz |
6.25 |
6.28 |
6.26 |
Honey Nut Cereal 18.8oz Family size |
5.98 |
5.57 |
5.52 |
American Cheese singles 24 ct |
5.39 |
5.52 |
5.32 |
Salted Butter 1 lb |
5.34 |
6.23 |
5.36 |
Classic Potato Chips 8 oz bag |
4.02 |
3.86 |
4 |
Honey Wheat Bread 20 oz |
3.69 |
3.29 |
3.69 |
Cookies 14.3oz |
3.78 |
9.2 |
3.78 |
Bacon 16 oz |
8.82 |
8.11 |
8.92 |
Liquid dish detergent 46 oz |
- |
- |
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Spring Water 16.9 oz, 32 ct |
7.19 |
7.45 |
7.21 |
1000 sheet toilet paper 12 ct |
12.36 |
12.17 |
12.15 |
Peanut Butter 16.3 oz |
3.27 |
3.27 |
3.27 |
White rice 32 oz |
4.86 |
4.89 |
4.88 |
Laundry detergent 96 oz |
13.06 |
13.06 |
13.06 |
Total |
151.9 |
153.29 |
152.21 |
Posted: 2025-10-08 10:51:49